created on June 28, 2004
last updated on November 16,
2004
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CONTACT INFORMATION
THE THREE FIELDS may not look related at first glance. In fact, they are not. I would say, however, that a knowledge of computer programming would help my current (and future) work in various ways. With regard to civil engineering, the link would be less obvious at this point. But I met good people at least. (This is not to say that I have not met good people in the other two fields.) |
Imperial Russian Navy |
I AM A Ph.D. candidate in the
THE MAIN THEME for my dissertation is unawareness. Although I consider myself a rational-choice theorist, I am particularly interested in bounded rationality, relaxing the assumption of (perfect) rationality. As in computer science and economics (and somehow philosophy) literatures, unawareness, a type of bounded rationality, refers to complete omission of some possibilities, in contrast to incomplete information---often seen in game theory---with which actors know all possibilities and how likely each possibility is, but do not know exactly which of them is the case (see my working paper #2). Unawareness would be necessary in order to formally explore psychological biases which non-formal scholars have long insisted on, but that formal modelists have been reluctant to incorporate into their models. Deterrence, for instance, is said to be a psychological theory in that its success depends on the credibility of deterrent threat---in other words, upon what the actor to be deterred expects would be to occur once it defied the deterrer. This implies that the deterrer in turn needs to conjecture what the deterred thinks of its credibility. Here comes in psychology of the actors. For studying the implications of it, we need to model it, and the key to do so, I argue, is unawareness (see my working paper #3).
: The background themes used on my site are thankfully made available here.