REMARKS
SUBMITTED TO THE LEADERSHIP CONFERENCE ON CONSERVANCY AND DEVELOPMENT
September
1999, Yunnan Province, China
First,
let me express my heartfelt thanks to all of the speakers from China and from
other countries as well and to Professor Chou for inviting me to this wonderful
conference and allowing me to experience beautiful Yunnan Province. I’ve learned
so much from all of you and I hope my remarks prove useful to you as well.
My
topic concerns community economic development. I’d like to start with a few
observations about how, as an outsider, I perceive economic development to
be occurring at present:
Taking
massive action—for example, building superhighways and airports virtually
overnight—takes preference over incrementalism.
While
capital to build major infrastructure and commercial improvements—for example,
the many new high-rise hotels in Kunming—is available, money for ongoing operations
and especially maintenance is in much shorter supply. Unfortunately, this
is not a sustainable approach.
Limited
attention is given to linking economic development investment decisions to
the market’s ability to generate enough business to support the improvements.
Similarly,
only limited attention is given to choosing public investments that build
upon the strengths of the existing economy to maximize productivity, that
is, return on investment to the government and to the people.
Making
the quantum leap from a resource-based economy to a knowledge-based economy
is unlikely, given such significant problems as illiteracy, poverty, pollution,
and infrastructure deficiencies.
That
having been said, the twin challenges dominating our conference remain:
How
to ensure that income and wealth flowing from economic development initiatives
in Yunnan accrue to local people, rather than enterprises in other provinces
or abroad, including the multi-nationals hungry for access to China’s market
of a billion people.
How
to reconcile ambitious economic development objectives with equally ambitious
ecological and cultural stewardship goals.
Now
for some ideas leading towards a new framework for making economic development
policies and related investment decisions. Some of these thoughts may be a
bit radical, but they reflect my experience working in places facing similar
challenges and goals.
As
a premise, I believe the wealth created by successful and sensitive economic
development is probably the best tool for encouraging natural resource conservation
and enabling threatened cultures to survive and even thrive. People living at
a subsistence level are far less able to muster the energy necessary to manage
resources than those who feel economically secure. Income and willingness to
conserve go hand in hand. Now for the suggestions.
Upgrade
access to education and training—whether for high tech jobs, for the hospitality
industry or simply to update existing skills—for it a strong labor force is
the foundation for economic development. The training agenda should include
assembling programs tailored for specific investment initiatives to ensure
that a prepared workforce can step into new jobs.
Favor
improvements that simultaneously benefit residents, business and tourists.
They offer the most immediate payoff. Providing potable water and adequate
sewer service should be high priority items.
Incorporate
the techniques of market demand assessment and feasibility analysis to inform
economic development investment decisions. In the U.S., these tools are no
longer limited to the private sector. Local, state and national government
agencies, along with NGOs, use them to ensure the wise use of scarce funds.
Adopting a return-on-investment approach makes sense regardless of whether
public or private sector money is at stake.
Similarly,
use economic impact theory—which identifies how productive an investment is
by determining how long associated spending will circulate within the local
economy before being exported away—to compare competing economic development
investments under contemplation. Economic impact theory provides an established
methodology which enables governments to measure return on investment in terms
of jobs, wages and indirect ("spin-off") economic activity. It allows investments
benefiting different sectors to be compared using common means, but must be
employed strategically, since not all investment benefits can be reduced to
monetary terms, particularly cultural preservation.
Using
economic impact theory points out the benefits of encouraging horizontal and
vertical integration, for example, manufacturing a key component locally to
cut down on transport costs and enable cost-cutting business practices like
just-in-time inventory systems.
Help
existing enterprises modernize their equipment and processes to increase efficiency
and cut down on pollution and other harmful environmental effects. Consider
incentives to motivate individual enterprises to make these improvements on
their own.
Find
ways to help universities convert their research findings with commercialization
potential into applications to help grow new industries locally.
Involve
managers from local enterprises, banks and educational institutions in making
economic development policy and investment decisions. They have their fingers
on the pulse of business and intuitively know the economy’s practical requirements,
beyond what statistics reveal.
Encourage
entrepreneurship and micro enterprise development through economic development
policy and educational offerings. While many will fail, others will take off.
Take
advantage of centralized government where advantageous, for example, in land
planning and regulatory systems including zoning and building codes and ensuring
that future development and infrastructure improvements occur in a pattern,
scale and with building materials that respect the community’s historic fabric.
With
regard to tourism development, beware the erosion of authenticity that accompanies
an arts/culture-oriented strategy. For example, people selling mass-produced
goods can always outbid true artisans for the premier real estate locations.
Moreover, marketing and the development of packages has to accompany local
tourism product investments. Finally, tourists are unpredictable and fickle,
and marketing cannot create expectations the experience can’t provide.
For
both economic development and tourism development, accept that incrementalism
is the most probable and the most viable approach. Growth has to proceed in
tandem with capacity, whether its regarding infrastructure, a trained workforce,
the ability of a culture to persist in the face of modernization, or the ability
of the environment to absorb additional economic activity.