Lecture 6 – July 16,  2003

Objectives

Operating premises of risk assessment

Operating premises of risk assessment

Operating premises of risk assessment

Operating premises of risk assessment

Operating premises of risk assessment

Operating premises of risk assessment

Operating premises of risk assessment

Variables used in multivariable models

Risk Factors

Example - variables in multivariable models(I)

Immutable risk factor

Example - Variables in multivariable models (I)

Risk predictor (risk marker)

Risk predictor (risk marker)

Example: Variables in multivariable models (I)

Risk factors - criteria

Risk factor – criteria:

Risk factors – level of evidence

Risk factors – level of evidence

Risk factors – Level of evidence

Risk factors – level of evidence

Risk factors – level of evidence

Risk factors – level of evidence

Example - variables in multivariable models (I)

An example: caries risk assessment (CRA)

An example: caries risk assessment (CRA)

An example: caries risk assessment (CRA)

An example: caries risk assessment (CRA)

An example: caries risk assessment (CRA)

Risk model vs. prediction model

Risk model

Prediction model

Prediction models

Prediction models

An example: caries risk assessment (CRA)

Prediction models

An example: caries risk assessment (CRA)

Prediction models

Prediction model criteria

Prediction model criteria

Prediction model criteria -

Prediction model criteria

Prediction model criteria

Result: targeting

Result: targeting - for the clinician

Result: Targeting – for a population

Example: targeting sealant use

Example: targeting sealant use

Example: targeting sealant use

Example: targeting sealant use

Slide 53

Slide 54

Slide 55

Example: targeting sealant use

Example: targeting sealant use

Example: targeting sealant use

Example - targeting sealant use

Example: targeting sealant use