The Environment,
Population and
Reproductive Health

Slide 2

Estimated Number of Births & Deaths  Resultant Population Increase, Mid-2003
 Total Pop., Mid-2003  6.3 billion (G.R. 1.3%)
                                   Population
                             Births           Deaths      Increase
No. per year    139,000,000   57,000,000   82,000,000
No. per week       2,673,000     1,096,000    1,577,000
No. per day             381,857        156,571      225,286
No. per minute             265               109             156

Slide 4

Population Growth Rates
Growth Rate (%) Doubling Time (yrs)
4.0 17
3.0 23
2.0 35
1.0 69
0.002       35,000

Estimates of Birth, Death
 and Growth Rates, Mid-2003
                       Pop.   Births/    Deaths/  Growth      D.T.
                                        1000         1000        rate (%)        (yrs)
WORLD      6,314M      22            9          1.3         53
Africa             861M      38          14         2.4         29
Asia            3,830M       20            7         1.3         53
L. America     540M      23            6         1.7         41
Europe           727M      10          12        -0.2             -
N. America     323M      14            8         0.5         138

Estimate of Birth, Death & Growth Rates
Mid-2003, Selected Countries
              Pop.    Births/  Deaths/  Growth  D.T.
                                1000        1000       rate (%)   (yrs)
China 1,289M       13          6            0.6      115
India   1,069M       25          8            1.7        41
Russia   145M       10        16           -0.7         -
U.S.        291M       14          9            0.6      115

World Population, 1950-2020 (millions)
                                      Less                  More
             World           Developed         Developed
       (x1,000,000)    (x1,000,000)      (x1,000,000)
1950     2,501         1,644  (68%)          857   (34%)
1970     3,610         2,526  (70%)       1,084   (30%)
1985     4,845         3,671  (76%)       1,174   (24%)
2003     6,314         5,112  (81%)       1,202   (19%)
2010*    6,903         5,687  (82%)       1,217   (18%)
2025*    8,082         6,842  (84%)       1,240   (16%)
*United Nations Medium Projection

Population Projections
(Millions)
                        1994   2003     2010    2025
World              5,607   6,314   6,903    8,082
Africa                 700      861      979    1,288
Asia                 3,392    3,830   4,235   4,965
Latin America    470     540       591     697
Europe               728      727       731     715
North America   290      323      333      376

Population Projections,
Selected Countries
(Millions)
              1994       2003      2010      2025   2050
China      1,192      1,289     1,394     1,561  1,394
India           912      1,067     1,197     1,441  1,628
U.S.            261        292        298       335       422
Indonesia   200        221        239       275       316
Russia       148        146         142       135       119
Nigeria         98        134         150       203       307
Mexico         92        104         118       140       153

Momentum of World Population Growth
                                                        Eventual point
                                                                      at which
Year in which the     World population    population
  world attains           at replacement         stabilizes
replacement fertility                 (x1,000,000)
     2000-2005              5.9                8.4
    2020-2025              8.4              11.2
    2040-2045            12.0              15.1

Slide 12

Slide 13

Slide 14

Slide 15

Slide 16

Urban Populations (Millions)
                          1970           2001           2015
Sao Paolo         8              18             21
Mexico City       9             18             20
Shanghai         11             13             14
Mumbai             6              17             23
Calcutta             7             13             17
Jakarta              4              11             17
Beijing               7              11             12

Urban Areas Larger Than
5 Million People
             Developing     Developed
               countries         countries
1970           11                      9
2000            37                    11

Contraceptive Prevalence:
Developing Countries
(Approximate %)
      1960              2001
<5%   57% (all methods)
           51% (modern)

1974 Population Conference,
Bucharest
North-South Debates
Western Nation Imperialism

1984 Population Conference, Mexico City
U.S. Stance: Free Market Systems;
Population Growth Not An Issue;
Abortion (With Catholic Church)
Developing Country Concerns Re:
Population

International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD)
(Cairo, September, 1994)
Major Issues:
Population
Environment
Human Rights
Empowerment of Women
Women’s Sexual & Reproductive Health & Rights

Cairo - The Setting
15,000 Attendees
3,700 Delegates from 179 Countries and
8 Observer Delegations
4 Presidents, 7 Prime Ministers, 5 Vice Presidents, Many Parliamentarians
1,200 Nongovernmental Organizations (NGOs)
4,200 Journalists

Brundtland of Norway
“Morality becomes hypocrisy if it means accepting mothers suffering or dying in connection with unwanted pregnancies and illegal abortions, and unwanted children living in misery .. “

Environmental Issues
Conflicts Between Developed and Less Developed Countries
Developed Countries
Consumption Patterns
Industrialization
Pollution

Environmental Issues (cont.)
Less Developed Countries
Population
Deforestation
Loss of Top Soil
Early Industrialization - Pollution
Urbanization

Water Issues
Projections for the future are daunting
Again, impact heaviest on the poorest countries
Increases in population numbers play a major role

ICPD Programme of Action
  Overall emphasis on sustainable development, humanitarian goals, and status of women rather than on demographic targets

Empowerment of Women
“The empowerment and autonomy of women and the improvement of their political, social, economic and health status is a highly important end in itself …”

Empowerment of Women
Economic Equity:
Access To Jobs, Equal Pay
Health Equity:
Right to Reproductive and Sexual Health
Political, Legal, Educational and Social Equity

Abortion in Cairo
“In no case should abortion be promoted as a method of family planning …
All governments …are urged …to deal with the health impact of unsafe abortion as a major public health concern…
In circumstances in which abortion is not against the law, such abortion should be safe.”

Human Rights
“These [human] rights rest on the recognition of the basic rights of all couples and individuals to decide freely and responsibly the number, spacing and timing and to have the information and means to do so and the right to attain the highest standard of sexual and reproductive health … free of discrimination, coercion and violence ..”

Reproductive Health Issues
Family Planning Services
Prevention, Diagnosis and Treatment of
STDs and HIV/AIDS
Adolescent Sexuality and Pregnancy
Maternal Mortality
Abortion

Family Planning Services
Make Available All Effective and Safe Methods of Contraception On A Voluntary Basis With Full Informed Consent

Family Planning Methods
Oral Contraceptives
IUDs
Injectables & Implants
Barrier Methods
Periodic Abstinence
Sterilization Procedures

STDs and HIV/AIDS
Gonorrhea and Syphilis
Chlamydia
Herpes
Trichomonas
Monila
HPV
HIV/AIDS

STDs and HIV/AIDS (cont.)
Prevention Education
Condom Use
Women-Controlled Methods
Diagnosis and Testing Issues
Treatment Issues

Adolescent Sexuality and Pregnancy
The Issue Worldwide, Particularly in Urban Areas
The Controversies
“The Rights, Duties and Responsibilities of Parents”

Maternal Mortality
500,000 Deaths Annually, 98% in LDCs
MM Ratios 10-100 Times Those in Developed Countries
LDCs: 100-1000/100,000 Livebirths
US:  8/100,000 Livebirths

Maternal Mortality (cont.)
High Incidence of Home Deliveries, Particularly in Rural Communities, with TBA, Relative or No-One in Attendance

Maternal Mortality: Causes
Obstructed Labor/Ruptured Uterus
Postpartum Hemorrhage
Toxemia/Eclampsia
Postpartum Sepsis
Abortion Complications
Role of Age and Parity

Maternity Care Interventions:
Emergency Obstetrical Care
Transfusions
Parenteral Antibiotics
Cesarean Section
Treatment of Abortion

Abortion
Incidence Worldwide:
40-50 Million
Estimated Deaths Annually From Unsafe Abortions: 60,000-110,000
Single Most Controversial Issue in Society Today

Slide 44

 Global summary of the HIV/AIDS epidemic,
December 2002

Adults and children estimated to be living
with HIV/AIDS as of end 2002

Estimated number of adults and children
newly infected with HIV during 2002

Estimated adult and child deaths
from HIV/AIDS during 2002

About 14 000 new HIV infections a day in 2002
More than 95% are in developing countries
2000 are in children under 15 years of age
About 12 000 are in persons aged 15 to 49 years, of whom:
  almost 50% are women
  about 50% are 15–24 year olds

Women and AIDS
“…It is only when women can speak up, and have a full say in decisions affecting their lives, that they will be able to truly protect themselves -- and their children -- against HIV.”*
*UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan

Women and AIDS
The vulnerability of women
12-13 African women infected per 10 men
The threat to sex workers
The threat to spouses
Relationship with F.P. programs
The role of prevention
Safe sexual practices
Microbicides & condoms (male & female)
Vaccines

The AIDS Orphan Tragedy
An estimated 12-14 million children have lost one or both parents
Loss of the mother is particularly devastating
Educational, food, housing and nurture needs are grossly neglected

Slide 53