The
Environment,
Population and
Reproductive Health
Slide 2
Estimated Number of Births
& Deaths Resultant Population
Increase, Mid-2003
Total Pop., Mid-2003 6.3 billion (G.R. 1.3%)
Population
Births Deaths Increase
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|
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No. per year 139,000,000 57,000,000 82,000,000 |
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No. per week 2,673,000 1,096,000 1,577,000 |
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No. per day 381,857 156,571 225,286 |
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No. per minute 265 109 156 |
Slide 4
Population Growth Rates
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Growth Rate (%) Doubling Time (yrs) |
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4.0 17 |
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3.0 23 |
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2.0 35 |
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1.0 69 |
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0.002 35,000 |
Estimates of Birth,
Death
and Growth Rates, Mid-2003
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Pop. Births/
Deaths/ Growth D.T. |
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1000 1000 rate (%) (yrs) |
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WORLD 6,314M 22 9 1.3 53 |
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Africa 861M 38 14 2.4 29 |
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Asia 3,830M 20 7 1.3 53 |
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L. America 540M
23 6 1.7 41 |
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Europe 727M 10 12 -0.2 - |
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N. America 323M
14 8 0.5 138 |
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Estimate of Birth, Death
& Growth Rates
Mid-2003, Selected Countries
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Pop. Births/
Deaths/ Growth D.T. |
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1000 1000 rate (%) (yrs) |
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China 1,289M 13 6 0.6 115 |
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India
1,069M 25 8 1.7 41 |
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Russia
145M 10 16 -0.7 - |
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U.S. 291M 14 9 0.6 115 |
World Population, 1950-2020
(millions)
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Less More |
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World Developed Developed |
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(x1,000,000)
(x1,000,000) (x1,000,000) |
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1950
2,501 1,644 (68%) 857 (34%) |
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1970
3,610 2,526 (70%)
1,084 (30%) |
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1985
4,845 3,671 (76%)
1,174 (24%) |
|
2003
6,314 5,112 (81%)
1,202 (19%) |
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2010*
6,903 5,687 (82%)
1,217 (18%) |
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2025*
8,082 6,842 (84%)
1,240 (16%) |
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*United Nations Medium Projection |
Population
Projections
(Millions)
|
|
|
1994 2003
2010 2025 |
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World 5,607 6,314
6,903 8,082 |
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Africa 700 861
979 1,288 |
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Asia 3,392 3,830
4,235 4,965 |
|
Latin America 470
540 591 697 |
|
Europe 728 727 731
715 |
|
North America 290
323 333 376 |
Population
Projections,
Selected Countries
(Millions)
|
|
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1994 2003 2010 2025
2050 |
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China 1,192 1,289 1,394
1,561 1,394 |
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India 912 1,067 1,197
1,441 1,628 |
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U.S. 261 292 298 335 422 |
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Indonesia 200
221 239 275 316 |
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Russia 148 146 142 135 119 |
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Nigeria 98 134 150 203 307 |
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Mexico 92 104 118 140 153 |
Momentum of World
Population Growth
|
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Eventual point |
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at which |
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Year in which the World population population |
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world attains at
replacement stabilizes |
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replacement fertility (x1,000,000) |
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2000-2005 5.9 8.4 |
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2020-2025 8.4 11.2 |
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2040-2045 12.0 15.1 |
Slide 12
Slide 13
Slide 14
Slide 15
Slide 16
Urban Populations
(Millions)
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1970 2001 2015 |
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Sao Paolo 8 18 21 |
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Mexico City 9 18 20 |
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Shanghai 11 13 14 |
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Mumbai 6 17 23 |
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Calcutta 7 13 17 |
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Jakarta 4 11 17 |
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Beijing 7 11 12 |
Urban Areas Larger
Than
5 Million People
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Developing Developed |
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countries countries |
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1970 11 9 |
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2000 37 11 |
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Contraceptive
Prevalence:
Developing Countries
(Approximate %)
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1960 2001 |
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<5% 57% (all methods) |
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51% (modern) |
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1974 Population
Conference,
Bucharest
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North-South Debates |
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Western Nation Imperialism |
1984 Population Conference,
Mexico City
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U.S. Stance: Free Market Systems; |
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Population Growth Not An Issue; |
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Abortion (With Catholic Church) |
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Developing Country Concerns Re: |
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Population |
International Conference on
Population and Development (ICPD)
(Cairo, September, 1994)
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Major Issues: |
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Population |
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Environment |
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Human Rights |
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Empowerment of Women |
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Women’s Sexual & Reproductive
Health & Rights |
Cairo - The Setting
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15,000 Attendees |
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3,700 Delegates from 179 Countries and |
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8 Observer Delegations |
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4 Presidents, 7 Prime Ministers, 5 Vice
Presidents, Many Parliamentarians |
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1,200 Nongovernmental Organizations
(NGOs) |
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4,200 Journalists |
Brundtland of Norway
|
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“Morality becomes hypocrisy if it means
accepting mothers suffering or dying in connection with unwanted pregnancies
and illegal abortions, and unwanted children living in misery .. “ |
Environmental Issues
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Conflicts Between Developed and Less
Developed Countries |
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Developed Countries |
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Consumption Patterns |
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Industrialization |
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Pollution |
Environmental Issues
(cont.)
Less Developed Countries
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Population |
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Deforestation |
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Loss of Top Soil |
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Early Industrialization - Pollution |
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Urbanization |
Water Issues
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Projections for the future are daunting |
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Again, impact heaviest on the poorest
countries |
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Increases in population numbers play a
major role |
ICPD Programme of Action
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Overall emphasis on sustainable development, humanitarian goals, and
status of women rather than on demographic targets |
Empowerment of Women
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“The empowerment and autonomy of women
and the improvement of their political, social, economic and health status is
a highly important end in itself …” |
Empowerment of Women
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Economic Equity: |
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Access To Jobs, Equal Pay |
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Health Equity: |
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Right to Reproductive and Sexual Health |
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Political, Legal, Educational and
Social Equity |
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Abortion in Cairo
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“In no case should abortion be promoted
as a method of family planning … |
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All governments …are urged …to deal
with the health impact of unsafe abortion as a major public health concern… |
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In circumstances in which abortion is
not against the law, such abortion should be safe.” |
Human Rights
|
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“These [human] rights rest on the
recognition of the basic rights of all couples and individuals to decide
freely and responsibly the number, spacing and timing and to have the
information and means to do so and the right to attain the highest standard of
sexual and reproductive health … free of discrimination, coercion and
violence ..” |
Reproductive Health Issues
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|
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Family Planning Services |
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Prevention, Diagnosis and Treatment of |
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STDs and HIV/AIDS |
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Adolescent Sexuality and Pregnancy |
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Maternal Mortality |
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Abortion |
Family Planning Services
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Make Available All Effective and Safe
Methods of Contraception On A Voluntary Basis With Full Informed Consent |
Family Planning Methods
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Oral Contraceptives |
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IUDs |
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Injectables & Implants |
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Barrier Methods |
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Periodic Abstinence |
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Sterilization Procedures |
STDs and HIV/AIDS
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Gonorrhea and Syphilis |
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Chlamydia |
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Herpes |
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Trichomonas |
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Monila |
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HPV |
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HIV/AIDS |
STDs and HIV/AIDS (cont.)
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Prevention Education |
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Condom Use |
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Women-Controlled Methods |
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Diagnosis and Testing Issues |
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Treatment Issues |
Adolescent Sexuality and
Pregnancy
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The Issue Worldwide, Particularly in
Urban Areas |
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The Controversies |
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“The Rights, Duties and
Responsibilities of Parents” |
Maternal Mortality
|
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500,000 Deaths Annually, 98% in LDCs |
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MM Ratios 10-100 Times Those in
Developed Countries |
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LDCs: 100-1000/100,000 Livebirths |
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US:
8/100,000 Livebirths |
Maternal Mortality (cont.)
|
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High Incidence of Home Deliveries,
Particularly in Rural Communities, with TBA, Relative or No-One in Attendance |
Maternal Mortality: Causes
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Obstructed Labor/Ruptured Uterus |
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Postpartum Hemorrhage |
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Toxemia/Eclampsia |
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Postpartum Sepsis |
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Abortion Complications |
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Role of Age and Parity |
Maternity Care
Interventions:
Emergency Obstetrical Care
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Transfusions |
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Parenteral Antibiotics |
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Cesarean Section |
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Treatment of Abortion |
Abortion
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Incidence Worldwide: |
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40-50 Million |
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Estimated Deaths Annually From Unsafe
Abortions: 60,000-110,000 |
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Single Most Controversial Issue in
Society Today |
Slide 44
Global summary of the HIV/AIDS epidemic,
December 2002
Adults and children
estimated to be living
with HIV/AIDS as of end 2002
Estimated number of adults
and children
newly infected with HIV during 2002
Estimated adult and child
deaths
from HIV/AIDS during 2002
About 14 000 new HIV
infections a day in 2002
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More than 95% are in developing
countries |
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2000 are in children under 15 years of
age |
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About 12 000 are in persons aged 15 to
49 years, of whom: |
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almost 50% are women |
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about 50% are 15–24 year olds |
Women and AIDS
|
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“…It is only when women can speak up,
and have a full say in decisions affecting their lives, that they will be
able to truly protect themselves -- and their children -- against HIV.”* |
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*UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan |
Women and AIDS
|
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The vulnerability of women |
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12-13 African women infected per 10 men |
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The threat to sex workers |
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The threat to spouses |
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Relationship with F.P. programs |
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The role of prevention |
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Safe sexual practices |
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Microbicides & condoms (male &
female) |
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Vaccines |
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The AIDS Orphan Tragedy
|
|
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An estimated 12-14 million children
have lost one or both parents |
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Loss of the mother is particularly
devastating |
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Educational, food, housing and nurture
needs are grossly neglected |
Slide 53