Publications List
Accepted/In Press
Yang, W., M. Lipsitch and J. Shaman: Inference of
seasonal and pandemic influenza transmission dynamics using big
surveillance data. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences.
2014
Lofgren, E., M. E. Halloran, C. M. Rivers, J. M. Drake, T. C.
Porco, B. Lewis, W. Yang, A. Vespignani, J. Shaman, J. N. S. Eisenberg, M.
C. Eisenberg, M. Marathe, S. V. Scarpino, K. A. Alexander, R. Meza, M. J.
Ferrari, J. M. Hyman, L. A. Meyers and S. Eubank, 2014:
Opinion: Mathematical models: A key tool for outbreak response.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
111(51):18,095-18,096, doi:10.1073/pnas.1421551111.
Shaman, J., W. Yang and S. Kandula, 2014: Inference
and Forecast of the Current West African Ebola Outbreak in Guinea, Sierra
Leone and Liberia. PLOS Currents Outbreaks, 2014 Oct 31.
Edition 1. doi:
10.1371/currents.outbreaks.3408774290b1a0f2dd7cae877c8b8ff6
Halloran, M. E., A. Vespignani, N. Bharti, L. R. Feldstein, K. A.
Alexander, M. Ferrari, J. Shaman, J. M. Drake, T. Porco, J. N. S.
Eisenberg, S. Y. Del Valle, E. Lofgren, S. V. Scarpino, M. C. Eisenberg,
D. Gao, J. M. Hyman, S. Eubank, and I. M. Longini, 2014: Ebola:
Mobility data. Science, 346(6208):443.
Shaman, J., 2014: Letter
to the Editor: Caution needed when using gridded meteorological data
products for analyses in Africa. Eurosurveillance,
19(41):pii=20930.
Yang, W., and J. Shaman, 2014: Does
exposure to poultry and wild fowl confer immunity to H5N1?
Chinese Medical Journal, 127(18):3335-3343.
Shaman, J., 2014: The
Seasonal Effects of ENSO on European Precipitation: Observational
Analysis. Journal of Climate, 27(17): 6423-6438.
Quinn, A., J. D. Tamerius, M. Perzanowski, J. S. Jacobson, I.
Goldstein, L. Acosta and J. Shaman, 2014: Predicting
indoor heat exposure risk during extreme heat events. Science of
the Total Environment, 490: 686-693.
Gog, J. R., S. Ballesteros, C. Viboud, L. Simonsen, O. N.
Bjornstad, J. Shaman, D. L. Chao, F. Khan, B. T. Grenfell, 2014:
Spatial transmission of 2009 pandemic influenza in the US. PLOS
Computational Biology, 10(6): e1003635,
doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003635
Yang, W., A. Karspeck and J. Shaman, 2014:
Comparison of filtering methods for the modeling and retrospective
forecasting of influenza epidemics. PLOS Computational Biology,
10(4): e1003583, doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1003583
Chretien, J.-P., D. George, J. Shaman, R. A. Chitale and F. E.
McKenzie, 2014: Influenza
forecasting in human populations: a scoping review. PLOS
ONE, 9(4): e94130, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0094130
Yang, W., E. Petkova and J. Shaman, 2014: Examination
of mortality during the 1918 pandemic in New York City. Influenza
and Other Respiratory Viruses, 8(2):177-188.
Huang, K. E., M. Lipsitch, J. Shaman and E. Goldstein, 2014:
Quantifying the impact of school openings on the reproductive number of
the 2009 A/H1N1 influenza epidemic in the United States.
Epidemiology, 25(2):203-206.
Shaman, J., 2014:
The Seasonal Effects of ENSO on Atmospheric Conditions Associated with
European Precipitation: Model Simulations of Seasonal Teleconnections.
Journal of Climate, 27(3):1010-1028.
2013
Shaman, J, A. Karspeck, W. Yang, J. Tamerius, and M. Lipsitch,
2013:
Real-Time Influenza Forecasts during the 2012-2013 Season. Nature
Communications, 4: Article Number 2837,
doi:10.1038/ncomms3837.
Kerr, D. C. R., J. Shaman, I. J. Washburn, S. Vuchinich, T. Neppl,
D. Capaldi, R. Conger, 2013:
Two Longterm Studies of Seasonal Variation in Depressive Symptoms among
Community Participants. Journal of Affective Disorders,
151(3):837-842.
Shaman, J., S. Solomon, R. R. Colwell and C. B. Field, 2013:
Reply to Rice and Henderson-Sellers: Survival of the fittest is not always
the best option Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, 110(29):E2663, doi:10.1073/pnas.1307874110.
Rydbeck, A., E. D. Maloney, S.-P. Xie, J. Hafner and J. Shaman,
2013:
Remote Forcing versus Local Feedback of East Pacific Intraseasonal
Variability. Journal of Climate, 26(11):3575-3596.
Tamerius, J. D., L. M. Acosta, J. S. Jacobson, I. F. Goldstein, J.
W. Quinn, A. G. Rundle, M. S. Perzanowski and J. Shaman, 2013:
Socioeconomic and Outdoor Meteorological Determinants of Indoor
Temperature and Humidity in New York City Households. Weather,
Climate and Society, 5(2):168-179,
doi:10.1175/WCAS-D-12-00030.1.
Gatton, M., N. Chitnis, T. Churcher, M. Donnely, A. Ghani, C.
Godfray, F. Gould, I. Hastings, J. Marshall, H. Ranson, M. Rowland, J.
Shaman, L. White, and S. Lindsay, 2013:
The Importance of Mosquito Behavioural Adaptations to Malaria Control in
Africa. Evolution, 67(4):1218-1230.
Tamerius, J. D., J. Shaman, W. Alonso, K. Bloom-Feshbach, C. Uejio,
A. Comrie and C. Viboud, 2013:
Environmental Predictors of Seasonal Influenza Epidemics across Temperate
and Tropical Climates. PLoS Pathogens, 9(3): e1003194.
doi:10.1371/journal.ppat.1003194.
Shaman, J. and M. Lipsitch, 2013:
The ENSO-Pandemic Influenza Connection: Coincident or Causal?
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110(Supplement
1): 3689-3691, doi:10.1073/pnas.1107485109.
Shaman, J., S. Solomon, R. R. Colwell and C. B. Field, 2013:
Fostering
Advances in Interdisciplinary Climate Science. Proceedings of the
National Academy of Sciences, 110(Supplement 1): 3653-3656,
doi:10.1073/pnas.1301104110.
Koep, T. H., F. T. Enders, C. Pierret, S. C. Ekker, D.
Krageschmidt, N. L. Kevin, M. Lipsitch, J. Shaman and C. Huskins,
2013:
Predictors of Indoor Absolute Humidity and Estimated Effects on Influenza
Virus Survival in Grade Schools. BMC Infectious Diseases,
13: 71, doi:10.1186/1471-2334-13-71.
2012
Shaman, J. and A. Karspeck, 2012: Forecasting Seasonal
Outbreaks of Influenza. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, 109(50): 20425-20430,
doi:10.1073/pnas.1208772109.
Shaman, J., R. M. Samelson and E. Tziperman, 2012:
Complex wavenumber Rossby wave ray tracing. Journal of the
Atmospheric Sciences, 69(7): 2112-2133.
Shaman, J. and E. Maloney, 2012:
Shortcomings in Climate Model Simulations of the ENSO-Atlantic Hurricane Teleconnection.
Climate Dynamics, 38(9-10): 1973-1988, doi:10.1007/s00382-011-1075-4.
2011
Shaman, J., 2011:
Strategies for Controlling the Enzootic Amplification of Arboviruses. Journal of Medical
Entomology, 48(6): 1189-1196.
Shaman, J., K. Harding, and S. R. Campbell, 2011:
Meteorological and Hydrological Influences on the Spatial and Temporal Prevalence of WNV in Culex
Mosquitoes, Suffolk County New York. Journal of Medical
Entomology, 48(4): 867-875.
Shaman, J., C. Y. Jeon, E. Giovannucci and M. Lipsitch, 2011:
Shortcoming of Vitamin D-Based Model Simulations of Seasonal Influenza.
PLoS ONE, 6(6): e20743, doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0020743.
Shaman, J., E. Goldstein and M. Lipsitch, 2011:
Absolute humidity and pandemic versus epidemic influenza. American
Journal of Epidemiology, 173(2):127-135,
doi:10.1093/aje/kwq347.
Shaman, J. and E. Tziperman, 2011: An
Atmospheric Teleconnection Linking ENSO and Southwestern European
Precipitation. Journal of Climate, 24(1):124-139.
2010
Simmerman, J. M., P. Suntarattiwong, J. Levy, R. V. Gibbons, C.
Cruz, J. Shaman, R. G. Jarman, and T. Chotpitayasunondh, 2010: Influenza
virus contamination of common household surfaces during the 2009 influenza
A (H1N1) pandemic in Bangkok, Thailand--implications for contact
transmission. Clinical Infectious Diseases,
51(9):1053-1061.
Shaman, J., R. M. Samelson and E. Skyllingstad, 2010:
Air-Sea Fluxes over the Gulf Stream Region: Atmospheric Controls and
Trends. Journal of Climate, 23(10):2651-2670.
Shaman, J., V. E. Pitzer, C. Viboud, B. T. Grenfell and M.
Lipsitch, 2010:
Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental
US. PLoS Biology, 8(2):e1000316.
doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1000316
Shaman, J., J. F. Day and N. Komar, 2010: Hydrologic Conditions
Describe West Nile Virus Risk in Colorado. International Journal of
Environmental Research and Public Health, 7(2):494-508,
doi:10.3390/ijerph7020494.
2009
Day, J. F. and J. Shaman, 2009: Severe Winter
Freezes Enhance St. Louis Encephalitis Virus Amplification and Epidemic
Transmission in Peninsular Florida. Journal of Medical
Entomology, 46(6):1498-1506.
Shakun, J. D. and J. Shaman, 2009: Tropical
Origins of North and South Pacific Decadal Variability. Geophysical
Research Letters, 36, L19711, doi:10.1029/2009GL040313.
Shaman, J., S. K. Esbensen and E. D. Maloney, 2009:
The Dynamics of the ENSO-Atlantic Hurricane Teleconnection: ENSO-related
changes to the North African-Asian Jet affect Atlantic Basin Tropical
Cyclogenesis. Journal of Climate, 22(9):2458-2482.
Shaman, J. and M. Kohn, 2009:
Absolute Humidity Modulates Influenza Survival, Transmission and
Seasonality. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
106(9):3243-3248, doi:10.1073/pnas.0806852106
2008
Maloney, E. D. and J. Shaman, 2008:
Intraseasonal Variability of the West African Monsoon and Atlantic ITCZ.
Journal of Climate, 21(12):2898-2918.
Day, J. F. and J. Shaman, 2008: Using hydrologic conditions to track
the risk of focal and epidemic arboviral transmission in peninsular
Florida. Journal of Medical Entomology, 45(3):458-465.
2007
Shaman, J., and E. Tziperman, 2007:
The Summertime ENSO-North African-Asian Jet Teleconnection and
Implications for the Indian Monsoons. Geophysical Research
Letters, 34, L11702, doi:10.1029/2006GL029143.
Shaman, J., 2007: Amplification due to
spatial clustering in an individual-based model of mosquito-avian
arbovirus transmission. Transactions of the Royal Society of
Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 101(5):469-483,
doi:10.1016/j.trstmh.2006.11.007.
Shaman, J. and J. F. Day, 2007:
Reproductive Phase Locking of Mosquito Populations in Response to Rainfall
Frequency. PLoS ONE, 2(3):e331.
doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000331.
2006
Shaman, J., J. F. Day, M. Stieglitz, S. Zebiak, and M. Cane,
2006:
An Ensemble Seasonal
Forecast of Human Cases of St. Louis Encephalitis in Florida Based on
Seasonal Hydrologic Forecasts. Climatic Change,
75(4):495-511.
Warrach, K., M. Stieglitz, J. Shaman, V. C. Engel, and K. L.
Griffin, 2006: Twentieth
Century Climate in the New York Hudson Highlands and the Potential Impacts
on Eco-Hydrological Processes. Climatic Change,
75(4):455-493.
Shaman, J., M. Spiegelman, M. Cane, and M. Stieglitz, 2006:
A Hydrologically Driven Model
of Swamp Water Mosquito Population Dynamics. Ecological
Modelling, 194(4):395-404.
2005
Shaman, J., M. Cane, and A. Kaplan, 2005: The Relationship between Tibetan Snow
Depth, ENSO, River Discharge and the Monsoons of Bangladesh.
International Journal of Remote Sensing, 26(17):3735-3748.
Shaman, J. and J. F. Day, 2005: Achieving
Operational Hydrologic Monitoring of Mosquito-Borne Disease
Transmission. Emerging Infectious Diseases,
11(9):1343-1350.
Shaman, J. and E. Tziperman, 2005:
The Effect of ENSO Variability on Tibetan Plateau Snow Depth: A
Stationary Wave Teleconnection Mechanism and Implications for the South
Asian Monsoons. Journal of Climate, 18(12):2067-2079.
Shaman, J., J. F. Day, and M. Stieglitz, 2005: Drought-induced amplification and
epidemic transmission of West Nile virus in South Florida. Journal
of Medical Entomology, 42(2):134-141.
2004
Shaman, J., M. Stieglitz, and D. Burns, 2004: Are Big Basins just the Sum of Small
Catchments? Hydrological Processes, 18:3195-3206.
Shaman, J., J. F. Day, and M. Stieglitz, 2004: The Association of Drought, Wetting and
Human Cases of St. Louis Encephalitis Virus in South-Central
Florida. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene,
71(3):251-261.
Shaman, J., J. F. Day, M. Stieglitz, S. Zebiak, and M. Cane,
2004:
Seasonal Forecast of St. Louis Encephalitis Virus Transmission,
Florida. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 10(5):802-809.
2003
Stieglitz, M., J. Shaman, J. McNamara, V. Engel, J. Shanley, and
G. Kling, 2003: An approach to
understanding hydrologic connectivity on the hillslope and the
implications for nutrient transport. Global Biogeochemical
Cycles, 17(4), 1105, doi:10.1029/2003GB002041.
Shaman, J., J. F. Day, and M. Stieglitz, 2003: St. Louis Encephalitis Virus in Wild
Birds During the 1990 South Florida Epidemic: The Importance of Drought,
Wetting Conditions, and the Emergence of Culex nigripalpus to
Arboviral Amplification and Transmission. Journal of Medical
Entomology, 40(4):547-554.
Shaman, J., M. Stieglitz, S. Zebiak, and M. Cane, 2003:
A Local Forecast of Land Surface Wetness Conditions Derived from Seasonal
Climate Predictions. Journal of Hydrometeorology,
4(3):611-626.
2002
Shaman, J., M. Stieglitz, V. Engel, R. Koster, and C. Stark,
2002:
Representation of Stormflow and a More Responsive Water Table in a
TOPMODEL-Based Hydrology Model. Water Resources Research,
38(8), 1156, doi:10.1029/2001WR000636.
Shaman, J., J. F. Day, and M. Stieglitz, 2002: Drought-induced
amplification of St. Louis encephalitis virus, Florida. Emerging
Infectious Diseases, 8(6):575-580.
Shaman, J., M. Stieglitz, C. Stark, S. Le Blancq, and M. Cane,
2002: Using
a dynamic hydrology model to predict mosquito abundances in flood and
swamp water. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 8(1):6-13.
jls106@columbia.edu
Jeffrey Shaman
Department of Environmental Health Sciences
Mailman School of Public Health
Columbia University
722 West 168th Street
Rosenfield Building
Room 1104C
New York, NY
10032