**1.
****Democratic
Transitions****
(Paper) (Slides1)
(Slides2)**

**2. Alternative Models of Dynamics in
Binary Time-Series–Cross-Section Models: The Example of State Failure****
(**Paper**)
(Slides1) (Slides2)**

**3. The
45% Solution: Racial Gerrymandering and Representative Democracy ****(**Paper**)**
**(****Slides****)**

**4.
Do
We Still Need §5 Preclearance? Theory and Evidence ****(**Paper**)**

**5.
Minorities and Democratization****
(**Paper**)
(Slides)**** **

**6****.
****Higher-Dimension
Markov Models**** **(Paper)
(Slides)

**7.
Bayesian Estimates of Minority Policy Influence (Paper)**

**8.
The Evolution of Descriptive and Substantive Representation, 1974-2004 (Paper)
(Slides)**

**9.
A Strategic Dominance Argument for Retaining Section 5 (Paper)
(Slides)**