PAGE FORTNA Research
|Does Peacekeeping Work?
Shaping Belligerents' Choices after Civil Wars.
Princeton University Press, 2008.
Cease-Fire Agreements and the Durability of Peace.
Princeton University Press, 2004.
Selected Articles and Book Chapters
|With Lisa Martin. "Peacekeepers
as Signals: the Demand for International Peacekeeping in Civil Wars" in Helen
V. Milner and Andrew Moravcsik, eds. Power, Interdependence, and Nonstate Actors in
World Politics: Research Frontiers. Princeton University Press, 2009.
|With Lise Morjé Howard. "Pitfalls
and Prospects in the Peacekeeping Literature." Annual Review of Political
Science Vol. 11, 2008.
Democratization" in Anna Jarstad and Tim Sisk, eds. From War to Democracy:
Dilemmas of Peacebuilding. Cambridge University Press, 2008.
order book data notes (pdf) data (stata)
Peacekeeping: Causal Mechanisms and Emprical Effects." World Politics
Vol. 56, No. 4, July 2004.
offprint (pdf) data notes (pdf) time-constant data (stata) time-varying data (stata)
Peacekeeping Keep Peace? International Intervention and the Duration of Peace After
Civil War." International Studies Quarterly Vol. 48, No. 2, June 2004,
offprint (pdf) data notes (pdf) data (stata)
|"Inside and Out: Peacekeeping and
the Duration of Peace after Civil and Interstate Wars." International Studies
Review, Vol. 5, No. 4, December 2003, pp. 97-114.
Paper? Agreements and the Durability of Peace." International Organization Vol.
57, No. 2, Spring 2003, pp. 337-72.
offprint (pdf) data notes (pdf) data (stata) selected output (pdf) response to Werner & Yuen 2005 (pdf)
"Where Have all the Victories Gone? Peacekeeping and War
Sept. 2009 version (pdf)
With Reyko Huang. "Democratization after Civil War"
Nov. 2009 version (word)
"Terrorism, Civil War Outcomes, and Post-War Stability: Hypotheses and (Very)
Sept. 2008 version (pdf)
War Initiation and Termination (WIT) 1816-present. With Tanisha Fazal
Covers all civil and interstate wars from 1816-present. Includes detailed
information on declarations of war, the political and military outcomes of war, as well as
a number of other variables.
Peacekeeping and the Peacekept: Data on Peacekeeping in Civil Wars 1989-2004
Covers all cease-fires of at least one month in civil wars from 1989-2004. Data include detailed information on the duration of peace, peacekeeping, and a number of other variables including war outcome, country and conflict attributes, relations with Permanent Five members of the UN Security Council, etc., and post-conflict democratization. Also includes less detailed information on cease-fires in civil wars from 1945-1989.
data notes (pdf) data (stata)
The Cease-Fires Data Set: The Duration of Peace after Interstate Wars 1946-1994
Covers all cease-fires in interstate wars from 1946-1994. Includes detailed information on the duration of peace and peace agreement strength and mechanisms, as well as the decisiveness of military outcomes, war cost, history of conflict, stakes, belligerent identity, capabilities and regime type, expected utility measures, etc. Note that there are two versions of the data: a time-constant version with one observation per case, and a time-varying version, with multiple observations as significant variables change over time.
data notes (pdf) time-constant data (stata) time-varying data (stata)
Recent Awards and Grants
Karl Deutsch Award for a "significant contribution to the study of International Relations and Peace Research." International Studies Association. (2010) $500.
With Tanisha Fazal. National Science Foundation."Srategies of Violence, Tools of Peace, and Changes in War Termination." (2009 - 2011) $346,684.
With Tanisha Fazal. Carnegie Corporation of New York. "States at Risk: Then and Now." (2009 - 2010) $349,600.
With Eric Mvukiyehe. Folke Bernadotte Academy. "Peacekeeping, Power-Holders, and Participatory Politics in Postwar Societies" (2009 - 2010) $69,957.
With Eric Mvukiyehe. United States Institute of Peace. "Making and Committing to Peace: Political Vulnerability and Civil War Resolutions." (2008 - 2010) $66,892.
With Eric Mvukiyehe. Folke Bernadotte Academy. "On-The-Ground Assessment of the Effectiveness of Peacekeeping Operations: A Micro-Level Study of the United Nations Mission in Liberia (UNMIL)." (2008 - 2009) $73,000.