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Welcome. My main research area is "firms and development" --
applied microeconomic studies of firm behavior in developing
countries. Much of my work focuses on the process of
upgrading, understood broadly to include learning, technology
adoption, quality improvement, and product innovation. The
fact that many advanced technologies and products already
exist in developed countries would seem to confer advantages
on developing-country firms, which are mainly trying to catch
up to the world frontier rather than push it forward, but for
many firms those advantages remain elusive. I have been trying
to understand why.
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Contact Information:
Mailing address: 420 W. 118th St., Room 1022, MC 3308, New
York, NY 10027
Office: IAB 1119
Tel: (212) 854-4428
Email:
[email protected]
Social media: LinkedIn,
X/Twitter, BlueSky
Office hours: Tues. 5:10-7pm or by appointment (please email)
Working Papers:
- "Quality
Upgrading in Global Supply Chains: Evidence from
Colombian Coffee.” With Rocco Macchiavello (r)
Josepa Miquel-Florensa (r) Nicolás de Roux (r) Mario
Bernasconi (r) Patrick Farrell. Dec. 2025. Revise and
resubmit, Quarterly Journal of Economics. (NBER #34610,
CEPR #20981.)
- "Social
Learning among Urban Manufacturing Firms:
Energy-Efficient Motors in Bangladesh.” With Ritam
Chaurey, Gaurav Nayyar, and Siddharth Sharma. Sept. 2025.
Appendix. Reject and resubmit, Quarterly Journal of
Economics. (NBER #34296,
CEPR #20713.)
- "What
Do Market-Access Subsidies Do? Experimental Evidence
from Tunisia.” With Nadia Ali, Giacomo De Giorgi,
and Aminur Rahman. July 2025.
Appendix. Revise and resubmit, American Economic
Review. (NBER #33985,
CEPR #20398.)
- "Estimating
Production Functions in Differentiated-Product
Industries with Quantity Information and External
Instruments.” With Nicolás de Roux, Marcela Eslava,
and Santiago Franco. Oct. 2024.
Appendix.
Supplementary materials. Revise and resubmit,
Journal of the European Economic Association.
Published/Forthcoming:
- "Wedges:
A Microeconomic Perspective on Misallocation.” With
Lauren Falcao Bergquist and Danial Lashkari. Forthcoming in
Handbook of Development Economics, vol. 6. (NBER #34756,
CEPR #21034.)
- STEG 2026 Conference keynote
(from 1:56.00 to 2:52.30), Jan. 2026.
- "Employment
Impacts of the CHIPS Act.” With Bilge Erten and Joseph
Stiglitz. Forthcoming in Brookings Papers on Economic
Activity, Fall 2025.
Appendix. (NBER #34625,
CEPR #20982.)
- "Exports
and Wage Premiums: Evidence from Mexican Employer-Employee
Data.” With Judith A. Frías, David S. Kaplan, and
David Alfaro-Serrano. Review of Economics and Statistics, v.
106, no. 2, pp. 305-321, March 2024.
Appendix.
- "Firm-Level
Upgrading in Developing Countries.” Journal of
Economic Literature, v. 61, no. 4, pp. 1410-1464, Dec. 2023.
- "North-South
Displacement Effects of Environmental Regulation: The Case
of Battery Recycling.” With Shinsuke Tanaka and
Kensuke Teshima. American Economic Review: Insights, v. 4,
no. 3, pp. 271-288, Sept. 2022 (lead article).
Appendix.
- “Enlisting
Employees in Improving Payroll-Tax Compliance: Evidence
from Mexico.” With Todd Kumler and Judith A. Frías.
Review of Economics and Statistics, v. 102, no. 5, pp.
881-896, Dec. 2020. Appendix.
- “Export
Destinations and Input Prices.” With Paulo Bastos and
Joana Silva. American Economic Review, v. 108, no. 2, pp.
353-392, Feb. 2018.
Appendix A. Appendix
B.
- “Organizational
Barriers to Technology Adoption: Evidence from Soccer-Ball
Producers in Pakistan.” With David Atkin, Azam
Chaudhry, Shamyla Chaudry, and Amit Khandelwal. Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 132, no. 3,
pp. 1101-1164, Aug. 2017. Appendix
A. Appendix
B. (Slides.)
- SIPA
Video: "Big Questions/Big Ideas: Incentives in
Innovation"
- Related article: "How
Labor Standards Can Be Good for Growth" Harvard
Business Revew (online). pdf.
- IGC
Video: "Footballs in Pakistan: An Innovation Story"
- VoxDev
column, VoxDev
video
- Media coverage:
Canada AM (national morning news),
Marketplace (American Public Media),
The Atlantic online,
The New Republic online,
Wall Street Journal Real Time Economics blog,
NBER Digest, Columbia
News, Valor
Econômico (Brazil), The
Nation (Pakistan), phys.org,
Chris
Blattman's blog, Stephen
Dubner's TMSIDK podcast (at 29:54), Dagens
Nyheter (Sweden), The
Economist
- Columbia Business School Case 180311: "Innovation
in Pakistan's Soccer Ball Industry: Barriers to Adoption".
- “On
the Origins and Development of Pakistan’s Soccer-Ball
Cluster.” With David Atkin, Azam Chaudhry, Shamyla
Chaudry, Amit Khandelwal, and Tariq Raza. World Bank
Economic Review (ABCDE Conference Papers & Proceedings),
v. 30, no. S1, pp. S34-S41, March 2017.
- “Mark-up
and Cost Dispersion Across Firms: Direct Evidence from
Producer Surveys in Pakistan.” With David Atkin, Azam
Chaudhry, Shamyla Chaudry, and Amit Khandelwal. American
Economic Review Papers & Proceedings, v. 105, no. 5, pp.
537–544, May 2015. Online
appendix. (.bib)
- “Exports
and Within-Plant Wage Distributions: Evidence from Mexico.”
With Judith A. Frías and David S. Kaplan. American Economic
Review Papers & Proceedings, v. 102, no. 3, pp. 435-440,
May 2012. Online
appendix. (.bib)
- “Prices,
Plant Size, and Product Quality.” With Maurice Kugler.
Review of Economic Studies, vol. 79 no. 1, pp. 307-339, Jan.
2012. Online
appendix. (.bib)
- “Plants
and Imported Inputs: New Facts and an Interpretation.”
With Maurice Kugler. American Economic Review Papers and
Proceedings, v. 99 no. 2, pp. 501-507, May 2009. (.bib)
Supplementary material: Appendix
Table 1.
- “Class-Size
Caps, Sorting, and the Regression Discontinuity Design.”
With Miguel Urquiola. American Economic Review, v. 99 no. 1,
pp. 179-215, March 2009. (.bib)
Appendix
B. Erratum.
- “Trade,
Quality Upgrading and Wage Inequality in the Mexican
Manufacturing Sector.” Quarterly Journal of Economics,
vol. 123, no. 2, pp. 489-530, May 2008. (.bib)
Appendix
II, Erratum.
- Reprinted in Trade
and Inequality, ed. Pinelopi Koujianou Goldberg,
Oxford University Press, 2015.
- Earlier versions: (1) June 2007: CEPR
#6385, BREAD
#153, IZA
#2913; (2) Jan. 2004: UC
Berkeley Center for Labor Economics #67.
- Press mentions: Wall
Street Journal, May 24, 2007, page A1 (Volkswagen
example drawn in part from this paper.) In Spanish: La
Reforma (México D.F.), May 24, 2007, Negocios p. 10.
Non-technical summary: SIPA
News, Jan. 2009.
- VW
photos
- “Fairness
and Freight-Handlers: Local Labor Market Conditions and
Wage Fairness Perceptions in a Trucking Firm.” With
Stephen V. Burks and Jeffrey P. Carpenter. Industrial and
Labor Relations Review, vol. 60, no. 4, pp. 477-498, July
2007. (.bib)
- “Comparing
Students to Workers: The Effects of Social Framing on
Behavior in Distribution Games.” With Jeffrey P.
Carpenter and Stephen V. Burks. In J. P. Carpenter, G.
Harrison, and J. List eds., Research in Experimental
Economics, vol. 10. Amsterdam, Boston: JAI/Elsevier, 2005. (.bib)
- “The
Effect of Stakes in Distribution Experiments.” With
Stephen V. Burks and Jeffrey P. Carpenter. Economics
Letters, vol. 86, no. 2, Feb. 2005. (.bib)
- “Playing
Both Roles in the Trust Game.” With Stephen V. Burks
and Jeffrey P. Carpenter. Journal of Economic Behavior and
Organization, vol. 51 no.2, pp. 195-216, June 2003. (.bib)
Other Writing,
Lectures, etc.:
- Nobel
in Africa Conference: “Firms and Development: A
Progress Report,” March 13, 2024 (video
from 1:42-32:38, slides).
- NBER Summer Institute DEV Master Lecture: “Firm-Level
Upgrading in Developing Countries,” July 26, 2022 (video,
slides).
- "Barriers to Upgrading in Developing Countries." VoxDev,
Ideas
4 India (Hindi
translation), Sept. 2022.
- “Should 'Appropriate Technology' Be Revived?” Panel
discussion, International Economic Association, Feb. 2,
2022. Slides,
Video
(scroll down).
- “Interventions
to Promote Technology Adoption in Firms: A Systematic
Review.” With David Alfaro-Serrano, Tanay
Balantrapu, Ritam Chaurey, and Ana Goicoechea. Campbell
Systematic Reviews, vol. 17, no. 4, Dec. 2021.
- Development,
Distribution, and Markets. Co-edited with Kaushik
Basu, Maitreesh Ghatak, Kenneth Kletzer, and Sudipto
Mundle. Oxford University Press, 2021.
- Columbia Business School Case Study: "Innovation
in Pakistan's Soccer Ball Industry: Barriers to
Adoption." With R. A. Farrokhnia and Amit
Khandelwal. CBS Case 180311. June 2018.
- "Upgrading
Outputs Means Upgrading Inputs." With Paulo Bastos
and Joana Silva. VoxDev, Feb. 2018.
- "Incentivising
Technology Adoption in Pakistani Firms." With
David Atkin, Azam Chaudhry, and Amit Khandelwal. VoxDev,
Nov. 2017.
- "Improving
Payroll-Tax Compliance Through Decentralized
Monitoring," VoxDev. June 2017.
- WTO Global Dialogues Lecture: "Trade
and Inequality in Developing Countries." Dec. 20,
2016. Short
summary.
- "How
Labor Standards Can Be Good for Growth," Harvard
Business Review (online), April 27, 2016. (pdf)
- “Estructura
Industrial e Innovación: Notas para una Nueva
Estrategia de Desarrollo Industrial en México.”
Boletin Informativo Techint, Edición Especial, Oct.
2013. [English version: “Industrial
Structure and Innovation: Notes Toward a New Strategy
for Industrial Development in Mexico.”] Appendix.
(.bib)
- “Heterogeneous Firms, Trade and the Links to Growth,”
Plenary talk at International Growth Centre (IGC) Growth
Week 2012 (slides,
audio).
- “Diferencias
de Precios de los Insumos de Origen Nacional y
Extranjero en la Industria Colombiana.” With Gilma
Beatriz Ferreira Villegas, Maurice Kugler, Germán Pérez
Hernández, and Luis Miguel Suarez Cruz. Revista ib de la
Información Básica, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 72-84, Dec. 2011.
- Comment on “The Effect of Mexican Workforce Migration
on the Mexican Maquiladora Labor Market,” by Scott E.
Atkinson and Marilyn Ibarra, Economía, vol. 8, no. 1,
Fall 2007.
- Comment on “Globalization, Migration and Development:
The Role of Mexican Migrant Remittances,” by Ernesto
López-Córdova. Economía, vol. 6, no. 1, Fall 2005.
Teaching:
Links:
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